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Δευτέρα 18 Αυγούστου 2014

Germany’s Geostrategic "naivety" and Strategic Depth of Greece encountered in Kiev!




"On February 25,2014,I published this article in Greek.

The developments are vindicating me and now it is published  in English!"

          What is happening in Ukraine were been "prepared" for 22 years.Since the day Ukraine became an independent state.The lack of Ethnological,linguistic and religious Cohesion but also guilt behavior of Western Ukrainians against Russian-speaking during the Second World War warned that this State Module had Expiration Date.And this date arrives slowly in time.And it has to do with "New State Maturity" of United Germany.Only Germany falls short,even today, in Geostrategy maturity and preparation,from the two other players in the international chessboard, USA and Russia.

          To understand the following,please note two points:A) Germany never "reconciled" with the terms of the Treaty of Lausanne,which defines in substance the Borders of the Balkans  and  USA ,by their own hand,did not "reconciled" with the determination of the status quo in the Middle East,as it was established after the Second World War!B) Consider the imaginary triangle Eurasia-Middle East-Balkans” as a single geo-strategic space.
 
We analyze!

          Germany from the unification proceeds slowly and cautiously in promoting its legal capacity as a mighty Geopolitical-Economic and Military Superpower.For this purpose uses and exploits the EU’s shortfall political legitimacy  of  Brussels bureaucracy and inequality of natural resources in the Old Continent and the Financial Crisis observed in the Union due to  editorial errors in  the construction of the Euro.At the same time let us not forget that Germany has already applied to become a permanent member of the UN Security Council but also recent statements highest German officials announcing further substantial military presence
 in Germany through NATO by exploiting the deliberate distancing of the USA.The Abstention from the events in Libya was only a tactical maneuver.Only Germany can not understand that as she was trying to take its first steps as a united anymore Country,USA and Russia determined the above triangle as an entity for which they would decide together, jointly ,maintaining certain balances.

          At the same time let's not forget the fact that USA and Russia want a strong and booming Europe with which they can collaborate at every level but in no way want a Hegemonic Germany that will take advantage of EU’s Strategic Depth.

          Developments in  Middle East, not finding a solution in Syria, Cyprus, the issues of North Africa and the economic crisis in our country are unknown variables that allow Germany to maneuver and "dreaming" of geostrategic hegemony role.But the developments in Ukraine does not seem in the long term to work in favor of Germany. Russian speakers and rich areas of Southeast Ukraine and especially the Autonomous region (since 1999) of Crimea are a vital and integral part of the so-called "Near Abroad" of Russia since
Crimea is the Naval Yard of the Russian Fleet, from which can control the energy flow to Europe and elsewhere. Mainly Russia’s “concessions” from Cyprus but also real efforts to find a solution in Syria without disregarding the sensitivities of Americans for the region confer several advantages to Russia on the issue of Ukraine. Statements of Susan Elizabeth Rice for Non-Military Involvement of Russia should be read on the contrary. 
           The unbundling of Ukraine does not meet substantial concerns by both Energy Partner countries,
Russia and Germany, medium to long term, however, the benefits will be much less for Germany and the West in general.In Western Ukraine substantially prevailed this part of the demonstrators adjacent to, primarily, Nazi far-right party Svoboda,of Oleg Tiachnimpok. No one from the Opposition nor Tymoshenko nor Giatseniouk  nor Klitschko control this "hard"part of Independence Square demonstrators.

          Therefore Germany and Europe in general, although initially will hinder Putin’s Contact with the states of former Soviet Union ,will have “adopted” a destitute and bankrupt State Module, that will need continuous financial aid and in which there are no clear signs of democratic functioning due to the fans of Oleg Tiachnimpok which become a powerful pole of western Ukraine.This time the "cooperation" of Americans with the Nazis Ukrainians (as they did during the Cold War) will not be a mound in Russia but a Firewall opposite the aspirations of Germany!

          Another embankment aspirations of Germany is Greece's exit of the crisis and the "browsing" in the markets.This will allow multiple maneuvers to Prime Minister Samaras to form Bilateral agreements with "more comfort" and with the other two dominant players on the international scene. One step would be the quadripartite agreement between Greece and Russia-US-China exploiting TRENOSE and the ports of Piraeus, Thessaloniki and  Alexandroupolis.Greece could be demonstrated as a Giant Node Input of Worldwide Range Products in Europe and will help to circumvent very expensive ports of Hamburg and Rotterdam (random? I do not think so! ).

          Schaeuble's attempt to "tie"  Greece with a new German Loan, as we have heard in the last days, proves efforts of Germany to remain "alive and present" in the Balkans.But  the Ukrainiangrenade” she is holding in her  hands is ready to explode. The othergrenade” is called Greece and the pin is in the hands of Antonis Samaras.
Simply in Kiev we can find Germany’s Geostrategic  "naivety"!

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