Another look around the crisis of the euro( German energy independence versus the euro rescue)

               After a long and deliberate abstention from writing and interventionism, provided by blogger, I am once again nearby. I would like to apologize to my Greek friends, but because of the many new English-speaking friends (persons and organizations) i will now use English as the language of our communication.I will not deal with purely internal matters of Greek politics, but mainly with the international implications and the causes of debt crisis and the civil war in Syria.

               I think that the two issues are linked, although the reasons that causes them are completely independent of one another. First of all, throughout this period, i am reading and listening to analysis subsequently examine whether it is «manageable» a country to exit the euro and how much this will cost Europe and especially Germany. Despite the fact that the above query has a logical base, I believe that analysts are surrendered by the statistics and the financial implications of the issues and have overlooked some other equally important aspects that can explain the attitudes and the strategy that some countries develope , especially Germany.I will not stand in numbers and statistics because I do not have access to official information.Therefore I will make another question that so far no one has done.And I will remain on the theoretical side of the issue because, as I explained above, I do not have access to official economic data.I hope the economic aspect of the following question provide an opportunity for research for economists.I will insist in political theory.

               The question is: Is the energy independence of Germany biggest challenge of rescuing the euro? Let me remind you of some issues. After the nuclear accident in Fukushima, the German government moved in the decision to close about 20 nuclear reactors in its territory.This will happen gradually after few years. Before the incident in Fukushima, and because of Russia's conflict with Georgia and Ukraine, the gas supply from these regions to Germany and the rich industrial north european countries  in general ,was drastically reduced, leading the industries of these countries to address serious problems.

               The discharge of toxic assets of bankrupt South lets  Germany and the rest of the rich North to guide decisions at the point where they want.On this point we are now. The answer which will be given will define the future and the prospects for future European integration. What is more important? The energy independence of Germany and North European industrial countries or saving the euro?It is worth an deadweight currency like the today euro to be saved ? At what price? By the hyperinflation of Germany? Or maybe by spliting the eurozone? What are the social implications of a split over policies? The Northern Europeans will decide with a view to European integration or energy independence? The voices that are heard more and more of a referendum on fiscal consolidation in Germany these days , I think divide and bring more European integration into question. Although the supporters of the referendum place it in 2-5 years, decisions will be taken until the end of 2012. 

               Can citizens of Germany and other North European countries  live with their exports reduced  over the next 5 years and inflation that will be created with this whole situation? One may wonder how energy independence can be achievied when Germany depends on Russian gas, and how this independence will overcome the effects of the non-euro rescue?

               The answer is as easy as cynical.Germany has provided about 120 billion euros in Greek crisis. 

Money that the Greek government owes to German citizens. The discovery of hydrocarbons south of Crete, along with mining made ​​by Cyprus and Israel in the so called Land Plot of Cyprus “12”, can result the leadership of Germany to another outlook on the settlement of the Greek question. If the Germans decide that energy independence is bigger challenge they can result to bankruptcy the European South, however, undertaking the price of reconstructing these countries. Germany may provide the bankrupt Greeks, Cypriots and Italians that it will rebuild their countries, if take full exploitation of energy resources of these countries but also the construction of underwater pipelines linking sources to Europe.

               If the energy independence of Germany is the answer to our question and if the medium and long term benefits of such a motion can bend the reactions of citizens of the Northern European countries by the hyperinflation and declining exports, then we can assume another aspect of the issue. And I say "we can assume" because I do not know the financial details of such decisions or plans.

               Regarding the issue of Syria and how is involved in the question above, I want to say briefly the following: First of all, Syria has always been a "window" of Russia in the Middle East.Any solution to the issue must have the "consent" of Russia or shall the international community to satisfy otherwise Russia. The location of Turkey next  to Syria is giving Turkey an advantage in diplomatic contacts with the international community about the control of the upcoming no-flight zones.It  can be done by Turkish soil. The ability and willingness of Turkey to play an important role in the Muslim world, coupled with the needs of NATO in the upcoming business “Deposition of Bashar al-Assad” can cause changes in energy balance in the region. Assuming that the energy independence of Germany is a fact (and of course the exploitation of deposits of Cyprus and Greece and  the pipelines of Israel-Cyprus-Greece-Albania-Italy) and that the International community would somehow satisfy Russia, having access to the Middle East and Mediterranean ,or/and  that the Burgas-Alexandroupolis pipeline will eventually be made, we can outline the energy balance as the great enemy of the euro-rescue. Provided of course that the energy independence of the Northern States of Europe is determined.

               Germany will secure its energy independence and leadership role in the reconstruction of European South,Tourkey will become the focal point of the West in the Muslim world and Russia will secure its exit to the Mediterranean through the pipeline and a port. (Alexandroupoli ,maybe?).And of course the U.S. will have through the reconstruction of Syria and the U.S. oil companies already operating in the area (Noble Energy etc.) full control over the geostrategic and political struggle against Iran which will happen after a while.

               As I said, I will confine myself to the political theory since I have no access to financial information of such decisions. The original query is to become a focal point with the decisions that will affect the geopolitical balance of our century. These balances are much higher than the rescue of the euro as the currency is today.Are they?

               If I had access to official information and the formulation of policy I am sure that I would have more arguments and of course I would be more useful!